A two-phase sampling strategy for large-scale forest carbon budgets

The estimation of forest carbon sources and sinks is an important issue in forest inventories. For monitoring forest carbon budgets, a two-phase strategy is proposed. In the first phase, N points are thrown onto the study region by means of unaligned systematic sampling and then classified as forest or non-forest on the basis of aerial information. In the second phase, a sample of n points of those classified as forest is achieved by means of a sampling scheme with selection probabilities proportional to the sizes of an auxiliary variable. Subsequently, circular plots of adequate size are centred in the n selected points and visited in order to quantify the carbon amount within. Unbiased estimators of the forest area size as well as of the overall amount of carbon in that area and a conservative estimator of their variance–covariance matrix are derived. The strategy is applied to estimate carbon budgets in the forests of Trentino (North Italy).