A Study of the Solar Proton Flux Model

The solar proton event (SPE) may become a serious threat to the cosmonautical activities of human beings, so the prediction of the flux of solar protons within a certain period has important guiding significance for the projection of the anti-radiation solidification of space vehicles. On the basis of a statistical analysis of the data of SPEs in the 20th to 23rd cycles of solar activity, a new model of solar proton fluxes with E > 10 MeV and E > 30 MeV is established. In comparison with the JPL model, which is frequently adopted in the present aerospace engineering, the influence factor of solar activity on the occurrence of proton events is introduced, and it can be used to estimate the proton fluxes under various levels of solar activity. The results can better match the characteristics of the distribution of proton events.