Modelling of fracture toughness data in the ductile to brittle transition temperature region by statistical analysis

A fracture toughness database for a ferritic 22NiMoCr37 steel forging for 12.5, 25, 50 and 100 mm thick specimens tested at nine different temperatures has been analysed statistically. The method employed uses a statistical procedure based on competing risks to evaluate the fracture toughness and quantify the probability of cleavage fracture as a function of temperature, specimen thickness and ductile crack growth. This paper describes the application of the competing risks statistical methods to the fracture toughness database obtained from the joint European Project.