• Title of article

    Sensitivity Analysis of the parameters of a Cholera Model

  • Author/Authors

    peter, oj university of ilorin - department of mathematics, Ilorin, Nigeria , ayoade, aa university of ilorin - department of mathematics, Ilorin, Nigeria , abioye, ai maritime academy of nigeria - school of general studies - department of mathematics, Oron, Nigeria , victor, aa university of ilorin - department of mathematics, Ilorin, Nigeria , akpan, ce obong university - departmennt of computer science, Obong Ntak, Nigeria

  • From page
    477
  • To page
    481
  • Abstract
    In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model is formulated to analyse the degree of sensitivity of some factors that aid cholera transmission and management. We obtain the disease-free equilibrium point and conduct the local stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria of the model. Reproduction number with interventions is stated and the method of normalised forward sensitivity index is employed to determine the numerical value of the key model parameters with respect to the effective reproduction number in order to determine their relative importance to cholera transmission and management. The results obtained show that the most important parameter to cholera transmission is the contact rate between susceptible and infectious individuals while the most crucial parameter to cholera management is the rate of cholera awareness.
  • Keywords
    Mathematical model , stability analysis , reproduction number , sensitivity index
  • Journal title
    Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
  • Journal title
    Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management
  • Record number

    2591317