Simulation of dioxin accumulation in human tissues and analysis of reproductive risk

Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxin, polychlorinated dibenzofuran and dioxin-like polychlorinated biphenyl concentrations in human liver, kidney, fat, blood, muscle, richly perfused tissue (brain, lung etc.) and skin were simulated to assess the health risk for Japanese fetuses. A 40-year time course of dioxin accumulation via food ingestion was simulated using a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model. In richly perfused tissue, the concentration estimated by the PBPK model showed better agreement with measured concentrations than that calculated by the one-compartment model. Fetal dioxin concentration was simulated based on the assumption that the fetal concentration was almost equal to the concentration in the mother’s richly perfused tissue. To assess the reproductive risk, the estimated concentration in human fetus was compared with that in rat fetus in which reproductive function showed signs of alteration by 2,3,7,8-TCDD in previous reports [Toxicol. Appl. Pharmacol. 114 (1992) 118; 146 (1997) 11; Toxicol. Sci. 53 (2000) 411; 57 (2000) 275]. The present daily intake of 2,3,7,8-TCDD is approximately 1/50 of the amount that leads to possible reproductive toxicity in the next generation. However, when 29 kinds of dioxin congeners are considered, the present level is 1/5 of the hazardous levels. For species extrapolation of dioxin risk, further study on tissue concentration versus toxicity is required.