Accounting for averaging time in air pollution modeling

This paper examines the validity of a commonly used expression to estimate concentrations for averaging times that are much smaller than that corresponding to the model estimate. These “peak” concentrations, which can be several times larger than the model estimate, are required in applications such as odor assessment. We show that this expression cannot be justified, and that information on short-term concentrations is only contained in the probability distribution of time-averaged concentrations. The paper proposes a simple model of concentration time series to examine the effect of averaging time on concentration probability distributions. The results from the model are compared with previous theoretical and experimental studies.