Numbers of wintering waterbirds in Great Britain, 1994/1995–1998/1999: I. Wildfowl and selected waterbirds Original Research Article

Estimates of the number of waterbirds (principally wildfowl) wintering in Great Britain are presented, based on data from the period 1994/1995–1998/1999. These update the previous estimates for 1987/1988–1991/1992. National estimates are used to derive 1% thresholds for waterbird species which in turn form the basis for the identification of nationally important wetland sites for subsequent conservation and protection. Estimates are also used to assess changes in numbers of those species for which monitoring data are insufficient to calculate annual indices of population change. Data for calculating the estimates come from a variety of sources including the Wetland Bird Survey (WeBS, a long-term scheme which counts waterbirds by day at wetlands), goose roost censuses, site-based surveys and published reviews. Generation of the estimates is made difficult by a number of methodological and data quality issues. To account for some of the methodological problems affecting WeBS data, new methods for generating estimates have been used which account for birds missed during the counts in a more comprehensive manner. These result in large increases in the estimated numbers for many of the relevant species, although most are still considered to be underestimates. To assess the biological change in numbers since the last assessment, estimates generated from the same methods used previously are also presented. These indicate that while the majority of species have experienced increases in numbers since the late 1980s there have been some notable declines. There is however scope for improving the accuracy of estimates derived from extensive, volunteer-based monitoring schemes such as WeBS.