Wage aspirations and unemployment persistence$

We use panel data to examine the empirical determinants of the reservation wage– in particular the influence of previous wages– and consider what this implies for the evolution of the natural rate of unemployment. We find that previous wages have a significant but relatively small effect on reservation wages (an elasticity between 0.15 and 0.47). We also find considerable differences across genders with previous wages being more important for men and market wages being more important for women. Overall our results suggest that the reservation wage will adjust quite quickly to shocks. r 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.