• Title of article

    Antipersistent Markov behavior in foreign exchange markets

  • Author/Authors

    Roberto Baviera، نويسنده , , Michele Pasquini، نويسنده , , Maurizio Serva، نويسنده , , Davide Vergni، نويسنده , , Angelo Vulpiani، نويسنده ,

  • Issue Information
    روزنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2002
  • Pages
    12
  • From page
    565
  • To page
    576
  • Abstract
    A quantitative check of efficiency in US dollar/Deutsche mark exchange rates is developed using high-frequency (tick by tick) data. The antipersistent Markov behavior of log-price fluctuations of given size implies, in principle, the possibility of a statistical forecast. We introduce and measure the available information of the quote sequence, and we show how it can be profitable following a particular trading rule.
  • Journal title
    Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
  • Serial Year
    2002
  • Journal title
    Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
  • Record number

    867931