Radiowave Receiving System Intercept Probability Model

A model is presented for estimating the intercept probabilities of radiowave-acquisition receiving systems. The specific architecture of each of the receiving systems is not important, but there must be two or more of them and they must operate in such a manner that for each trial (event) they alarm independently from a statistical point of view. The data giving the number of alarms for each receiver and the number of receivers alarming for each trial is all that is required. These data are used to form estimates of the conditional probabilities of intercept and simultaneous alarm. A least mean square estimator is then used to find the unconditional intercept probabilities.