Monte Carlo and fault tree aproaches in reliability applications of gas transmission network

Author

Praks, Pavel ; Contini, Sergio ; Kopustinskas, Vytis

Author_Institution

Inst. for Energy & Transp., Eur. Comm., Ispra, Italy

fYear

2014

fDate

12-14 May 2014

Firstpage

69

Lastpage

74

Abstract

The aim of the ProGasNet (Probabilistic Gas Network) project is to simulate the European transmission gas network under both reliability and capacity constraints given by the stochastically imperfect network elements, which can randomly fail with known failure probabilities. This paper presents results of a reliability model study by using Monte Carlo (MC) simulation approach and fault tree analysis method. Then these results are compared and analyzed. Finally, a MC approach was used in order to model a test case of the European gas transmission network.

Keywords

Monte Carlo methods; fault trees; power transmission reliability; European gas transmission network; MC simulation approach; Monte Carlo approaches; ProGasNet project; capacity constraints; failure probabilities; fault tree analysis method; probabilistic gas network project; reliability constraints; stochastically imperfect network elements; Benchmark testing; Europe; Fault trees; Monte Carlo methods; Pipelines; Probabilistic logic; Reliability; Monte-Carlo; energy security; fault tree; gas transmission network modelling; network resilience;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Electric Power Engineering (EPE), Proccedings of the 2014 15th International Scientific Conference on

Conference_Location

Brno

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/EPE.2014.6839421

Filename

6839421