Electronic commerce credit forecast simulation model research based on systems dynamics

The credit problem has been the development of Chinese e-commerce has had an important impact on both buyers and sellers of credit trends and third-party websites is forecast counterparties important reference factors in successful trading. Buyers and sellers and websites on the characteristics and factors as a whole system. Use of system dynamics theory to analyze the causal relationship of elements within the establishment of flow diagram, and then construct the system dynamics model and simulation carried out concluded that the next 100 months, the seller of all goodwill, customer confidence in credit and website degree of the curve showed an increasing tendency for the next multi-decision theory provides a basis for trading.