• DocumentCode
    1727880
  • Title

    Logistic curve of N-th order and compound growth modeling

  • Author

    Postan, Mykhaylo Ya

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. Econ. & Manage., Odessa Nat. Maritime Univ. (ONMU), Odessa, Ukraine
  • fYear
    2011
  • Firstpage
    919
  • Lastpage
    922
  • Abstract
    A notion of generalized logistic curve (so-called logistic curve of N-th order) is introduced. The important property of this curve is existence of several points of inflection. This makes it applicable for analysis and forecasting many economical indices. For estimation of parameters of logistic curve of N-th order a method is proposed which is analogue of the Rhode´s method firstly proposed for simple logistic curve. It is shown that logistic curve of N-th order is solution to a system of non-linear differential equations which may describe the compound growth in multi-level production system or dynamic behavior of trophic chain of a biological populations.
  • Keywords
    economic forecasting; nonlinear differential equations; parameter estimation; Rhode method; biological population; compound growth modeling; economical index; generalized logistic curve; multilevel production system; nonlinear differential equation; parameter estimation; Compounds; Equations; Mathematical model; compound growth; logistic curve of N-th order; multi-branch production; points of inflection; set of nonlinear ODE; statistical estimation;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-61284-490-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/GSIS.2011.6044114
  • Filename
    6044114