DocumentCode
182936
Title
Neuro fuzzy model with singular value decomposition for forecasting the number of train passengers in Yogyakarta
Author
Abadi, A.M. ; Wutsqa, D.U.
Author_Institution
Math. Educ. Dept., Yogyakarta State Univ., Yogyakarta, Indonesia
fYear
2014
fDate
19-21 Aug. 2014
Firstpage
178
Lastpage
182
Abstract
The neuro fuzzy model is a model that combines fuzzy and neural network, which has been applied to time series forecasting. A singular value decomposition method can be utilized for optimization of the neuro-fuzzy model based on the singular values of the matrix. This research aims to forecast the number of train passengers of PT Kereta Api Indonesia (Persero) Operating Region VI Yogyakarta by applying the neuro-fuzzy model with singular value decomposition. The forecasting accuracy of the proposed model is compared with those of the one order Takagi Sugeno Kang fuzzy model and the neuro-fuzzy whose optimization is done by the least square method. The results demonstrate that neuro-fuzzy models with singular value decomposition are more accurate than the other two models on testing data but not better on training data.
Keywords
forecasting theory; fuzzy neural nets; least squares approximations; matrix algebra; optimisation; railways; singular value decomposition; time series; PT Kereta Api Indonesia; Persero; Yogyakarta; forecasting accuracy; least square method; matrix; neural network; neuro fuzzy model; one order Takagi Sugeno Kang fuzzy model; operating region VI; optimization; singular value decomposition method; time series forecasting; train passengers forecasting; Data models; Forecasting; Noise measurement; Predictive models; Singular value decomposition; Time series analysis; Training data; least square method; neuro fuzzy model; one order Takagi Sugeno Kang fuzzy model; singular value decomposition; train passenger;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery (FSKD), 2014 11th International Conference on
Conference_Location
Xiamen
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-5147-5
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/FSKD.2014.6980828
Filename
6980828
Link To Document