DocumentCode
1979735
Title
Electricity prices forecasting using ANN Hybrid with Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO)
Author
Safari, M. Ikhsan Khamil Mohd ; Dahlan, N.Y. ; Razali, Nor Shahida ; Rahman, Titik Khawa Abdul
Author_Institution
Fac. of Electr. Eng., Univ. Teknol. MARA, Shah Alam, Malaysia
fYear
2013
fDate
19-20 Aug. 2013
Firstpage
275
Lastpage
280
Abstract
Electricity prices forecasting is an important tool for power generating company to make investment decision, engage with long-term contracts, bidding in short-term market and other strategic actions. It is also a useful tool for electricity consumers to manage their demand consumption. In this paper an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Hybrid with Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO) is introduced to forecast the electricity prices in the environment of restructured power market such as Australian Market. The ANN model uses the conventional back propagation technique, but the number of neuron nodes, learning rate and momentum constant are optimally determined using the IWO technique. Result shows that the ANN-IWO technique gives a better performance in term of forecasting error than the ANN technique alone.
Keywords
backpropagation; contracts; decision making; demand side management; electricity supply industry; forecasting theory; investment; neural nets; optimisation; power engineering computing; power markets; pricing; strategic planning; tendering; ANN hybrid model; ANN-IWO technique; Australian Market; artificial neural network hybrid; back propagation technique; bidding; demand consumption management; electricity consumers; electricity price forecasting; forecasting error; invasive weed optimization; investment decision making; learning rate; long-term contracts; momentum constant; neuron nodes; power generating company; restructured power market; short-term market; strategic actions; Artificial neural networks; Electricity; Electricity supply industry; Forecasting; Optimization; Sociology; Statistics; Artificial Neural Network (ANN); Electricity Market Price (EMP); Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO); Learning Rate (LR); Momentum Constant (MC); Number Neuron (NM);
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
System Engineering and Technology (ICSET), 2013 IEEE 3rd International Conference on
Conference_Location
Shah Alam
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-1028-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSEngT.2013.6650184
Filename
6650184
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