• DocumentCode
    1979735
  • Title

    Electricity prices forecasting using ANN Hybrid with Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO)

  • Author

    Safari, M. Ikhsan Khamil Mohd ; Dahlan, N.Y. ; Razali, Nor Shahida ; Rahman, Titik Khawa Abdul

  • Author_Institution
    Fac. of Electr. Eng., Univ. Teknol. MARA, Shah Alam, Malaysia
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    19-20 Aug. 2013
  • Firstpage
    275
  • Lastpage
    280
  • Abstract
    Electricity prices forecasting is an important tool for power generating company to make investment decision, engage with long-term contracts, bidding in short-term market and other strategic actions. It is also a useful tool for electricity consumers to manage their demand consumption. In this paper an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Hybrid with Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO) is introduced to forecast the electricity prices in the environment of restructured power market such as Australian Market. The ANN model uses the conventional back propagation technique, but the number of neuron nodes, learning rate and momentum constant are optimally determined using the IWO technique. Result shows that the ANN-IWO technique gives a better performance in term of forecasting error than the ANN technique alone.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; contracts; decision making; demand side management; electricity supply industry; forecasting theory; investment; neural nets; optimisation; power engineering computing; power markets; pricing; strategic planning; tendering; ANN hybrid model; ANN-IWO technique; Australian Market; artificial neural network hybrid; back propagation technique; bidding; demand consumption management; electricity consumers; electricity price forecasting; forecasting error; invasive weed optimization; investment decision making; learning rate; long-term contracts; momentum constant; neuron nodes; power generating company; restructured power market; short-term market; strategic actions; Artificial neural networks; Electricity; Electricity supply industry; Forecasting; Optimization; Sociology; Statistics; Artificial Neural Network (ANN); Electricity Market Price (EMP); Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO); Learning Rate (LR); Momentum Constant (MC); Number Neuron (NM);
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    System Engineering and Technology (ICSET), 2013 IEEE 3rd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Shah Alam
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-1028-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSEngT.2013.6650184
  • Filename
    6650184