Evaluation of power flow variability on the Paraguaná transmission system due to integration of the first venezuelan wind farm

The integration of Paraguaná wind farm imposes several challenges on the operation and control of Paraguaná transmission system. An assessment of the power system variability is imperative for the planning of the essential system reinforcements. The objective of this paper is to evaluate the variability of power flows on the Paraguaná transmission system due to the integration of the new 100MW Paraguaná wind farm. Stochastic power flow based on Monte Carlo simulations is employed to assess the variability. The stochastic system model created is based on real measurements of the loads and local generation in the Paraguaná transmission system and real wind speed data. Simulation results have demonstrated that the integration of this wind farm leads to an increase in the variability of the power flows in the system lines and to an increase in the probability of reserve power flows.