DocumentCode
2068753
Title
Modelling Inbound Tourism Demand in Shanghai
Author
Yuan Yujie ; Wang Zheng
Author_Institution
Dept. of Geogr., East China Normal Univ., Shanghai, China
fYear
2009
fDate
20-22 Sept. 2009
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
4
Abstract
This paper suggests a first-order autoregressive distributed lag (FADL) model, which estimated base on the data of inbound tourism demand in Shanghai, form 1978 to 2008. The estimated results show the impacts of crisis events on inbound tourism, and the difference of the impacts between "1997 Asian financial crisis" and "2007 subprime mortgage crisis". One of the forecasts for Shanghai is 9.12% growth rate of the number of inbound tourists in 2009.
Keywords
autoregressive moving average processes; economic cycles; travel industry; Asian financial crisis; Shanghai; crisis events; first-order autoregressive distributed lag model; inbound tourism demand modelling; subprime mortgage crisis; Autoregressive processes; Content addressable storage; Crisis management; Decision making; Demand forecasting; Diseases; Geography; Influenza; Loans and mortgages; Statistics;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4639-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5300886
Filename
5300886
Link To Document