• DocumentCode
    2135014
  • Title

    Load forecasting using elastic gradient descent

  • Author

    Yuan Hong ; Changhao Xia ; Shixiang Zhang ; Lin Wu ; Chao Yuan ; Ying Huang ; Xuxu Wang ; Haifeng Zhu

  • Author_Institution
    Electr. & New Energy Coll., China Three Gorges Univ., Yichang, China
  • fYear
    2013
  • fDate
    23-25 July 2013
  • Firstpage
    247
  • Lastpage
    251
  • Abstract
    The article describes in detail the theoretical basis of the elastic gradient descent method which combines the principal component analysis (PCA) and the time sequence method. In the short-term forecasting instance, the elastic gradient descent neural networks which combines the PCA and the time sequence method was used. The result verifies the effectiveness and feasibility of the introducing the PCA and the time sequence method in processing network optimization. The simulation result shows that this method has good prediction accuracy and convergence speed. In the long-term forecasting instance, the elastic gradient descent method which combines PCA method was used for that forecasting. The result indicated the superiority of the introducing the principal component analysis method in processing large amounts of data. As used herein, the model has good ductility and also lots of factors can be considered in. The prediction accuracy and generalization is good. And it will have a further application prospect in the actual forecast.
  • Keywords
    ductility; gradient methods; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; principal component analysis; PCA method; ductility; elastic gradient descent neural networks; load forecasting; principal component analysis; short-term forecasting instance; time sequence method; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Neural networks; Predictive models; Principal component analysis; Training; elastic gradient descent method; error back propagation artificial neural network; load forecasting; principal component analysis; time sequence;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Natural Computation (ICNC), 2013 Ninth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Shenyang
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNC.2013.6817979
  • Filename
    6817979