• DocumentCode
    2163455
  • Title

    Application of Grey LS-SVM in Mid and Long Term Power Load Forecasting

  • Author

    Zhang Fuwei ; Chen Wei

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    20-22 Sept. 2009
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    4
  • Abstract
    Mid-long term load is affected by many factors, it is difficult to forecast by a single method. This paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of grey forecasting method and least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) respectively, proposes a new forecasting model of grey least squares support vector machine which develops the advantages of accumulation generation in the grey forecasting method, weakens the effect of stochastic disturbing factors in original sequence, strengthens the regularity of data and avoids theoretical defects existing in the grey forecasting model. The simulation results show that this model performs well in generalization ability and forecasting precision.
  • Keywords
    grey systems; least squares approximations; load forecasting; support vector machines; accumulation generation; grey LS-SVM; grey forecasting; least squares support vector machine; mid-long term load; power load forecasting; stochastic disturbing factors; Differential equations; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system modeling; Power system stability; Predictive models; Quadratic programming; Statistical learning; Support vector machines;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4638-4
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4639-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304396
  • Filename
    5304396