Research on Investment Projects Risk Evaluation Based on Unascertained Measure Model

Author

Chen, J.F. ; Zhao, S.H. ; Weng, Y.

Author_Institution

State Key Lab. of Hydrol.-Water Resources & Hydraulic Eng., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China

fYear

2009

fDate

20-22 Sept. 2009

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

5

Abstract

Risk evaluation of water conservancy investment projects is a complicated and unascertained system decision making problem. Combining with the character of water conservancy investment projects risk evaluation, index system of risk evaluation is established and the method of computing evaluation index weight which combines analytic hierarchy process method and information entropy method is built. The model of water conservancy investment projects risk evaluation based on unascertained measure model is established. The case shows that the unascertained measure model is applicable for risk evaluation of water conservancy investment projects. It is also helpful for risk management to water conservancy investment projects.

Keywords

decision making; investment; project management; risk management; water conservation; analytic hierarchy process; information entropy; investment project risk evaluation; risk evaluation index system; unascertained measure model; water conservancy investment project; Decision making; Hydrologic measurements; Information entropy; Investments; Mathematical model; Project management; Risk analysis; Risk management; Water conservation; Water resources;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on

Conference_Location

Wuhan

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-4638-4

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-4639-1

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304411

Filename

5304411