DocumentCode
2165452
Title
The accuracy of a new confidence interval method
Author
Strelen, Johann Christoph
Author_Institution
Bonn Univ., Germany
Volume
1
fYear
2004
fDate
5-8 Dec. 2004
Lastpage
662
Abstract
Confidence intervals for the median of estimators or other quantiles were proposed as a substitute for usual confidence intervals in terminating and steady-state simulation. This is adequate since for many estimators the median and the expectation are close together or coincide, particularly if the sample size is large. Grouping data into batches is useful for median confidence intervals. The novel confidence intervals are easy to obtain, the variance of the estimator is not used. They are well suited for correlated simulation output data, apply to functions of estimators, and in simulation they seem to be particularly accurate, namely they follow the confidence level better than other confidence intervals. This paper states their accuracy which is the difference between the nominal confidence level and the actual coverage. The accuracy is evaluated with analytical models and simulation. For the estimation of quantiles by order statistics, the new confidence intervals are exact.
Keywords
discrete event simulation; minimax techniques; statistical analysis; analytical model; median confidence interval; order statistics; steady-state simulation; Analytical models; Costs; Packaging; Probability; State estimation; Statistical analysis; Statistics; Steady-state; Stochastic processes;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference, 2004. Proceedings of the 2004 Winter
Print_ISBN
0-7803-8786-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2004.1371373
Filename
1371373
Link To Document