DocumentCode
2171174
Title
The Forecast of the Rural Energy Consumption Structure Based on the Grey Model Theory
Author
Luo, Guoliang ; Zhang, Yuanmin
Author_Institution
Sch. of Bus. & Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
fYear
2009
fDate
20-22 Sept. 2009
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
4
Abstract
In this article, we applied the grey model to forecast the rural energy consumption structure. The research results indicated that the rural energy consumption structure would not change largely, and the consumption structure would develop to the direction with high quality and commercialization. In next 5 years, for the rural energy consumption structure, the proportion of the commercial energy will increase slowly and the use of the living energy will still occupy the leading status, and in the living energy consumption, the traditional biomass energy will still occupy the dominant status, and the proportion of the electric power will increase slowly, and the proportion of the firedamp will increase largely.
Keywords
energy consumption; grey systems; biomass energy; commercial energy; electric power; firedamp; grey model theory; living energy consumption; rural energy consumption structure; Biomass; Business; Commercialization; Differential equations; Economic forecasting; Electronic mail; Energy consumption; Energy resources; Load forecasting; Predictive models;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-4639-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304676
Filename
5304676
Link To Document