• DocumentCode
    2171174
  • Title

    The Forecast of the Rural Energy Consumption Structure Based on the Grey Model Theory

  • Author

    Luo, Guoliang ; Zhang, Yuanmin

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Bus. & Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    20-22 Sept. 2009
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    4
  • Abstract
    In this article, we applied the grey model to forecast the rural energy consumption structure. The research results indicated that the rural energy consumption structure would not change largely, and the consumption structure would develop to the direction with high quality and commercialization. In next 5 years, for the rural energy consumption structure, the proportion of the commercial energy will increase slowly and the use of the living energy will still occupy the leading status, and in the living energy consumption, the traditional biomass energy will still occupy the dominant status, and the proportion of the electric power will increase slowly, and the proportion of the firedamp will increase largely.
  • Keywords
    energy consumption; grey systems; biomass energy; commercial energy; electric power; firedamp; grey model theory; living energy consumption; rural energy consumption structure; Biomass; Business; Commercialization; Differential equations; Economic forecasting; Electronic mail; Energy consumption; Energy resources; Load forecasting; Predictive models;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4638-4
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-4639-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304676
  • Filename
    5304676