Prediction of rain attenuation series based on discretized spectral model

Spectral model is simple and efficient for modeling the rain attenuation which occurs in satellite communication channels. The prediction of this attenuation series is a vital step for adaptive coding or adaptive power control, which can improve the efficiency of a communication system. In simulation tasks, the discretized spectral model is usually used for generating the attenuation sequence. Due to this reason, in this paper we derive the conditional probability distribution of the predicted attenuation based on the discretized spectral model. This predictor can be used as a bound for others linear or nonlinear predictor of this model.