• DocumentCode
    2394662
  • Title

    Modeling market pricing in a deregulated environment using adaptive fuzzy inference systems

  • Author

    Mattson, Chris ; Liu, Chen-Ching ; Lawarree, Jacques

  • Author_Institution
    Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO, USA
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    2002
  • fDate
    25-25 July 2002
  • Firstpage
    1173
  • Abstract
    The focus of this presentation is on the development of a software model that allows an electricity market player to predict future market behavior given a set of indicators. This model should not be just a "black box" mechanism but, rather, it should be interpretable allowing insight as to how these indicators drive the behavior of the market. The method chosen is an extension of the approach termed a probabilistic inference network.
  • Keywords
    fuzzy set theory; inference mechanisms; power markets; power system analysis computing; power system economics; tariffs; Bayesian analysis; adaptive fuzzy inference systems; deregulation; electric utility industries; electricity market pricing; probabilistic inference network; software model development; Adaptive systems; Bayesian methods; Fuzzy sets; Fuzzy systems; Power industry; Power markets; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Pricing; Software tools;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power Engineering Society Summer Meeting, 2002 IEEE
  • Conference_Location
    Chicago, IL, USA
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-7518-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/PESS.2002.1043473
  • Filename
    1043473