Prediction of Jingdezhen Ceramic Industry Output and Grey Relational Analysis Based on GM (1,1) Grey Model

By applying grey model GM(1, 1) to ceramics for daily use output value, art (exhibition) ceremic output value, construction sanitary ceramic output value, and industrial ceramics output value, we predict Jindezhen ceramics industry output value for the twelfth five years. By using grey relational analysis, we obtain the contribution of four types of ceramics industry in Jindezhen ceramics industry output value. According to the results of prediction and analysis, we foresee problems that Jingdezhen ceramics industry may face during the twelfth five years of development, and we propose counter measures to maintain rapid economic development without damage to the ecological environment of Jingdezhen.