DocumentCode
2552509
Title
Pooling expert opinions using Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence
Author
Mellouli, Khaled ; Elouedi, Zied
Author_Institution
LAROID, Inst. Superieur de Gestion de Tunis, Tunisia
Volume
2
fYear
1997
fDate
12-15 Oct 1997
Firstpage
1900
Abstract
We propose a method based on Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence, to pool expert judgements about the hypotheses of the studied field and to get an assessment and even a ranking of the different scenarios. We start by presenting scenarios, then we describe an aggregation method of expertise based on probabilities and its limitations. Finally, we propose our method for pooling expert opinions using belief functions
Keywords
aggregation; decision theory; inference mechanisms; probability; strategic planning; Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence; aggregation method; belief functions; expert opinions; expertise; probabilities; ranking; scenarios; Airplanes; Airports; Delay; Event detection; Fuzzy sets; Hydrogen; Strategic planning; Uncertainty;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 1997. Computational Cybernetics and Simulation., 1997 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Orlando, FL
ISSN
1062-922X
Print_ISBN
0-7803-4053-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSMC.1997.638327
Filename
638327
Link To Document