• DocumentCode
    2615257
  • Title

    Path-sampling for state-dependent importance sampling

  • Author

    Blanchet, Jose H. ; Liu, Jingchen

  • Author_Institution
    Harvard Univ., Cambridge
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    9-12 Dec. 2007
  • Firstpage
    380
  • Lastpage
    388
  • Abstract
    State-dependent importance sampling (SDIS) has proved to be particularly useful in simulation (specially in rare event analysis of stochastic systems). One approach for designing SDIS is to mimic the zero-variance change-of-measure by using a likelihood ratio that is proportional to an asymptotic approximation that may be available for the problem at hand. Using such approximation poses the problem of computing the corresponding normalizing constants at each step. In this paper, we propose the use of path-sampling, which allows to estimate such normalizing constants in terms of one dimensional integrals. We apply path-sampling to estimate the tail of the delay in a G/G/l queue with regularly varying input. We argue that such tail estimation can be performed with good relative precision in quadratic complexity (in terms of the tail parameter) - assuming that path-sampling is combined with an appropriate change-of-measure proposed by Blanchet and Glynn (2007a).
  • Keywords
    approximation theory; importance sampling; queueing theory; G/G/l queue; asymptotic approximation; likelihood ratio; one dimensional integrals; path-sampling; quadratic complexity; state-dependent importance sampling; zero-variance change-of-measure; Approximation algorithms; Computational modeling; Context modeling; Delay estimation; Discrete event simulation; Kernel; Monte Carlo methods; Statistics; Tail; Yield estimation;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference, 2007 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Washington, DC
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1306-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1306-5
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2007.4419626
  • Filename
    4419626