• DocumentCode
    2656047
  • Title

    Research on Forecast of Sugar Price Based on Improved Neural Network

  • Author

    Xu Yongchun ; Shen Shiquan ; Chen Zhen

  • Author_Institution
    Guangdong Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Guangzhou
  • fYear
    2009
  • fDate
    23-25 Jan. 2009
  • Firstpage
    12
  • Lastpage
    15
  • Abstract
    According to the feature of market fluctuations in the price of sugar, an optimization algorithm based on improved genetic neural network training was proposed in this paper. A population optimization model on adaptive crossover and mutation operator and niche was designed, by applying gray theory and technology, the sugar price data was processed. A multi-dimensional learning sample and teacher sample for improved genetic neural network training was constructed. Finally, the trend of sugar prices of 1-2 weeks in year 2008 to 2009 was predicted by cases, the comparison of the forecast algorithm versus gray linear systems, S-BP, SGA-BP algorithm showed the integrated optimization of forecast accuracy and forecast effect.
  • Keywords
    backpropagation; genetic algorithms; linear systems; pricing; S-BP algorithm; SGA-BP algorithm; adaptive crossover; gray linear systems; improved genetic neural network training; market fluctuations; multidimensional learning sample; mutation operator; optimization algorithm; population optimization model; sugar price forecast; Algorithm design and analysis; Convergence; Design optimization; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Genetic algorithms; Genetic mutations; Neural networks; Production; Sugar industry; BP Network; forecast; improved GA; sugar price;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Information Technology and Security Informatics, 2009. IITSI '09. Second International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Moscow
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-3580-7
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IITSI.2009.9
  • Filename
    4777538