DocumentCode
2656047
Title
Research on Forecast of Sugar Price Based on Improved Neural Network
Author
Xu Yongchun ; Shen Shiquan ; Chen Zhen
Author_Institution
Guangdong Inst. of Sci. & Technol., Guangzhou
fYear
2009
fDate
23-25 Jan. 2009
Firstpage
12
Lastpage
15
Abstract
According to the feature of market fluctuations in the price of sugar, an optimization algorithm based on improved genetic neural network training was proposed in this paper. A population optimization model on adaptive crossover and mutation operator and niche was designed, by applying gray theory and technology, the sugar price data was processed. A multi-dimensional learning sample and teacher sample for improved genetic neural network training was constructed. Finally, the trend of sugar prices of 1-2 weeks in year 2008 to 2009 was predicted by cases, the comparison of the forecast algorithm versus gray linear systems, S-BP, SGA-BP algorithm showed the integrated optimization of forecast accuracy and forecast effect.
Keywords
backpropagation; genetic algorithms; linear systems; pricing; S-BP algorithm; SGA-BP algorithm; adaptive crossover; gray linear systems; improved genetic neural network training; market fluctuations; multidimensional learning sample; mutation operator; optimization algorithm; population optimization model; sugar price forecast; Algorithm design and analysis; Convergence; Design optimization; Economic forecasting; Fluctuations; Genetic algorithms; Genetic mutations; Neural networks; Production; Sugar industry; BP Network; forecast; improved GA; sugar price;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligent Information Technology and Security Informatics, 2009. IITSI '09. Second International Symposium on
Conference_Location
Moscow
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-3580-7
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IITSI.2009.9
Filename
4777538
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