Industrial energy consumption forecast and carbon emissions accounting for Tianjin “12th Five-Year Plan”

Tianjin is in a stage of rapid industrialization, and its demand for energy has been growing steadily. The industrial energy consumption accounts for over 60% of total energy consumption in Tianjin. A retrospective analysis is carried out on Tianjin industrial energy consumption. In 1995-2008, Tianjin\´s industrial energy intensity declined 7.52% annually, higher than the national average rate of 4.27%. Construct the formula of Tianjin\´s industrial economy and energy consumption by using the history data in 1999-2009. On this basis, forecast total industrial energy consumption in 2015, and the results show that Tianjin\´s energy intensity will achieve a decrease of 18% target. Using the calculation method of IPCC, account key industries\´ carbon emission intensity, and analyze the energy consumption structure to identify the potential energy saving industries. At last, establish industrial carbon emission benchmarks to provide a basis for the implementation of Tianjin "12^th Five-year Plan" and the industrial carbon reduction decision-making process.