• DocumentCode
    2900591
  • Title

    Critical fluctuations observed in collective human behaviors

  • Author

    Takayasu, Misako

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Comput. Intell. & Syst. Sci., Tokyo Inst. of Technol., Yokohama, Japan
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    12-16 June 2011
  • Firstpage
    34
  • Lastpage
    36
  • Abstract
    By analyzing order-book data of the foreign exchange market, Empirical facts of real market fluctuations are summarized. Then, we introduce numerical experiments using an artificial market model consisted of algorithmic dealers. Finally, we show that a generalized Langevin equation nearly the critical point is a promising theoretical model which can describe not only microscopic market properties but also macroscopic human behaviors typically observed in the period of hyper-inflation. The origins of both long-tailed distribution of price fluctuations and the dynamical motions of bubbles and crashes will be discussed from the viewpoint of physics.
  • Keywords
    critical fluctuations; foreign exchange trading; physiological models; Langevin equation; algorithmic dealers; artificial market model; collective human behaviors; critical fluctuations; dynamical motions; foreign exchange market; hyperinflation; macroscopic human behaviors; microscopic market properties; order-book data; Analytical models; Equations; Fluctuations; Force; Mathematical model; Numerical models; Viscosity; Langevin equation; financial market; hyper-inflation; long-tailed distribution;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Noise and Fluctuations (ICNF), 2011 21st International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Toronto, ON
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0189-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNF.2011.5994340
  • Filename
    5994340