Research on people flow evacuation based on grey simulation

Author

Sun Li ; Zhao Lindu

Author_Institution

Inst. of Syst. Eng. of Southeast Univ., Nanjing

fYear

2007

fDate

18-20 Nov. 2007

Firstpage

351

Lastpage

355

Abstract

Crowd evacuation in people dense location is a complex dynamic evolvement process. There are a lot of unsure elements. How to bring these unsure elements into research system and deal with them to reflect the practical evacuation process rather truly is a big problem in academia. This paper applies grey theory to the research of crowd evacuation, regards the decision of aptitude individual as a grey number and uses grey simulation to deal with it. Based on this, the paper launches an evacuation completion time forecasting arithmetic that accords with the fact better, and uses a computer to do simulation and the result is rather satisfying.

Keywords

forecasting theory; grey systems; social sciences; complex dynamic evolvement process; crowd evacuation; evacuation completion time forecasting arithmetic; grey number; grey simulation; people flow evacuation; Cities and towns; Computational modeling; Computer simulation; Digital arithmetic; Government; Intelligent systems; Motion pictures; Predictive models; Sun; Systems engineering and theory;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Grey Systems and Intelligent Services, 2007. GSIS 2007. IEEE International Conference on

Conference_Location

Nanjing

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-1294-5

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-1294-5

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/GSIS.2007.4443295

Filename

4443295