Research on Risk Degree of Project Duration in U-PERT Network

Author

Ma, Lihua

Author_Institution

Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Hebei Univ. of Eng., Handan, China

Volume

4

fYear

2009

fDate

26-27 Dec. 2009

Firstpage

6

Lastpage

9

Abstract

When the computation of project duration, the unascertained factor of project duration is leave out in traditional PERT network. And the computing result is a determine value. In this paper, the unascertained number algorithm is introduced in order to discuss the uncertainty in project network. And the project duration is contract with the credence. Firstly, the uncertainty of project duration is studied in the PERT network. Secondly, the unascertained algorithm is introduced, and the unascertained number of the project duration in the network is determined by using this method. Thirdly, both the finish credence and the accumulate credence can be worked out by the unascertained algorithm in the unascertained finish time of the network-planning. Forthly, the risk degree of project duration in U-PERT network is delimited. Finally, the scientific of risk degree of project duration in the U-PERT is proved by a case study.

Keywords

PERT; algorithm theory; number theory; U-PERT network; network planning; project duration; project network; risk degree; unascertained number algorithm; Computer network management; Computer networks; Conference management; Engineering management; Industrial engineering; Information management; Innovation management; Project management; Risk management; Uncertainty; PERT; project duration risk; project management; risk degree; the unascertained number algorithm;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering, 2009 International Conference on

Conference_Location

Xi´an

Print_ISBN

978-0-7695-3876-1

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICIII.2009.463

Filename

5369720