DocumentCode
2949744
Title
Forecast of Yangtze River Water Traffic Accidents Based on GM(1,1) Model
Author
Min, Deng ; Qing, Liu
Author_Institution
Sch. of Transp., Wuhan Univ. of Technol., Wuhan, China
fYear
2011
fDate
20-21 Aug. 2011
Firstpage
276
Lastpage
278
Abstract
The gray prediction method (grey model) is a system containing uncertainty method for prediction. This article describes the typical gray prediction model GM (1,1), the Yangtze River water traffic accidents according to statistics using GM (1,1) model to predict the amount of water accidents, to verify the accuracy of forecasting methods, and to forecast future traffic volume.
Keywords
forecasting theory; grey systems; rivers; traffic; Yangtze river water traffic accident; forecasting method; future traffic volume forecasting; gray prediction method; grey model; typical gray prediction model; uncertainty method; Accidents; Accuracy; Correlation; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Rivers; 1); GM (1; Yangtze River; accident prediction;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Intelligence Science and Information Engineering (ISIE), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Wuhan
Print_ISBN
978-1-4577-0960-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-0-7695-4480-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ISIE.2011.36
Filename
5997434
Link To Document