• DocumentCode
    3208125
  • Title

    Forecasting global Internet growth using fuzzy regression, genetic algorithm and neural network

  • Author

    Bagchi, Kallol ; Mukhopadhyay, Somnath

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of IDS, Texas Univ., El Paso, TX, USA
  • fYear
    2004
  • fDate
    8-10 Nov. 2004
  • Firstpage
    543
  • Lastpage
    548
  • Abstract
    This paper introduces several soft models such as the genetic algorithm, neural network and fuzzy regression to study and predict the Internet growth in several OECD nations. First a linear version of an augmented diffusion model is designed. The augmented diffusion model is designed by including the impact of an economic indicator, GDP per capita in to the model. In the next stage the soft models are built, using the augmented diffusion model as the base model. Performance and forecasting measures from these soft models show that these soft models provide improvements over the augmented diffusion model. We also discuss how the information from the models can be reused and integrated.
  • Keywords
    Internet; economic indicators; forecasting theory; fuzzy logic; genetic algorithms; neural nets; regression analysis; uncertainty handling; augmented diffusion model; economic indicator; fuzzy regression; genetic algorithm; global Internet growth forecasting; neural network; soft models; Decision making; Economic forecasting; Fuzzy neural networks; Genetic algorithms; IP networks; Information technology; Internet; Neural networks; Predictive models; Uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Reuse and Integration, 2004. IRI 2004. Proceedings of the 2004 IEEE International Conference on
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-8819-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/IRI.2004.1431517
  • Filename
    1431517