DocumentCode
3257266
Title
Predictive model of load and price for restructured power system using neural network
Author
Akole, Mohan ; Bongulwar, Milind ; Tyagi, Barjeev
Author_Institution
Instrum. Eng. Dept., Gov. Coll. of Eng., Chandrapur, India
fYear
2011
fDate
28-30 Dec. 2011
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
6
Abstract
Load and price prediction are an important component in the economic and secures operation of the competitive restructured power system energy market. This paper presents the use of an artificial neural network to half hourly ahead load prediction and half hourly ahead price prediction applications. By using historical weather, load consumption, price and calendar data, a multi-layer feed forward (FF) neural network trained with Back propagation (BP) algorithm was developed for the half hour ahead prediction. The developed algorithm for half hourly prediction has been tested with Australian market data. The result of ANN prediction model is compared with the conventional Multiple Regression (MR) prediction model.
Keywords
backpropagation; load forecasting; multilayer perceptrons; power consumption; power engineering computing; power markets; power system economics; power system security; ANN prediction model; Australian market data; artificial neural network; backpropagation algorithm; economic operation; half hour ahead prediction; historical weather; load consumption; load prediction; multilayer FF neural network; multilayer feedforward neural network training; power system security; predictive model; price prediction; restructured power system energy market; Analytical models; Artificial neural networks; Australia; Correlation; Load modeling; Predictive models; Training; Bad Data treatment; Load and Price Prediction; Multiple Regression (MR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN); Selection of variables; electricity market;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Energy, Automation, and Signal (ICEAS), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location
Bhubaneswar, Odisha
Print_ISBN
978-1-4673-0137-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICEAS.2011.6147106
Filename
6147106
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