• DocumentCode
    3297654
  • Title

    Research on gompertz curve model used for mobile user growth

  • Author

    Tao, Jin

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Comput. Sci., Gansu Political Sci. & Law Inst., Lanzhou, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    25-27 June 2010
  • Firstpage
    557
  • Lastpage
    560
  • Abstract
    This paper deals with the application of gompertz curve model to mobile user growth. gompertz growth curve is a kind of product life cycle theories, which reveals the development of product markets has a sigmoid growing process. The gompertz curve model which can be transformed, employ ordinary least-squares principle to simply formula. Based on historical data, the initial formula can be projected. In order to achieve better prediction accuracy,0.618 optimal seeking methods can be employed to optimize Model ,which adjusts limit parameters of gompertz growth curve for the purpose of fitting actual data. Although the gompertz model establishment for Postal and Telecommunication Services is demonstrated in this paper, this model can be applied in many fields. Example programs for specifying these models based on the use of the gompertz Curve Model are also provided. So the gompertz model is effective path to the research of product life cycle theories, which the prospect of application will be promising.
  • Keywords
    Accuracy; Application software; Computer science; Curve fitting; Educational technology; Mobile computing; Mobile handsets; Optimization methods; Paper technology; Predictive models; 0.618 Optimal Seeking Methods; Gompertz Model; Linear Regression; Ordinary Least-Squares Principle;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Educational and Network Technology (ICENT), 2010 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Qinhuangdao, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7660-2
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7662-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICENT.2010.5532100
  • Filename
    5532100