• DocumentCode
    3516972
  • Title

    Estimation of Car Demand in Iranian Market: Using Discrete Choice Model

  • Author

    Saeedi, Hamid ; Ardakani, Mohsen Fattahi ; Shahbazi, Mohammad Javad

  • Author_Institution
    Marketing Dept., TNA Consulting Eng. Co., Tehran, Iran
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    27-29 Jan. 2010
  • Firstpage
    231
  • Lastpage
    237
  • Abstract
    In this article, car demand in Iranian market has been estimated. At the first, Total demand function was estimated and The results show that car is a highly elastic commodity in Iran. Its price elasticity coefficient and income elasticity coefficient are 1.3 and 2.93, respectively. Furthermore socio-economical parameters affecting car ownership have been analyzed according to Iran household budget data using Discrete choice Models. This research shows how characteristics of household like residential location of household, gender, literacy, marital status and educational level of head of the household and fuel price variations change the probability of car ownership. Results show that Finally, Socio-Economic Parameters Affecting Household Ownership of Different Classes of Cars Have been Analyzed.
  • Keywords
    automobiles; marketing data processing; socio-economic effects; Iranian market; car demand; commodity; discrete choice models; household budget data; income elasticity coefficient; price elasticity coefficient; socio-economical parameters; Books; Costs; Demography; Elasticity; Fuels; Intelligent transportation systems; Java; Logistics; Predictive models; Road transportation; Iranian car Market; car demand; discrete choice model; logit; ordered probit; probit;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Intelligent Systems, Modelling and Simulation (ISMS), 2010 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Liverpool
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5984-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISMS.2010.51
  • Filename
    5416088