DocumentCode
3599876
Title
Power generation forecasting model for photovoltaic array based on generic algorithm and BP neural network
Author
Zhengqiu Yang ; Yapei Cao ; Jiapeng Xiu
Author_Institution
Beijing Univ. of Posts & Telecommun., Beijing, China
fYear
2014
Firstpage
380
Lastpage
383
Abstract
High concentration photovoltaic is a new type of solar power generation mode, which has better photoelectric conversion rate but is more vulnerable to weather factors. Therefore, accurate and efficient forecasting methods have important significance of increasing the security and stability of the solar power station. This paper focuses on the short-term forecasting method which aims at forecasting power generation in five minutes. This paper uses BP neural network(BP-NN) as the basic forecasting model and applies generic algorithm(GA) to optimize the weights and thresholds of BP-NN. The experimental results show that, the prediction effect of this method is ideal.
Keywords
genetic algorithms; load forecasting; neural nets; photovoltaic power systems; power engineering computing; BP neural network; BP-NN; GA; generic algorithm; high concentration photovoltaic; photoelectric conversion rate; photovoltaic array; power generation forecasting model; short-term forecasting method; solar power generation mode; Forecasting; Genetic algorithms; Neural networks; Photovoltaic systems; Predictive models; BP Neural network; Genetic algorithm; Photovoltaic generation (PV); Short-term forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Cloud Computing and Intelligence Systems (CCIS), 2014 IEEE 3rd International Conference on
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-4720-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/CCIS.2014.7175764
Filename
7175764
Link To Document