A comparative study of classification algorithms for forecasting rainfall

India is an agricultural country which largely depends on monsoon for irrigation purpose. A large amount of water is consumed for industrial production, crop yield and domestic use. Rainfall forecasting is thus very important and necessary for growth of the country. Weather factors including mean temperature, dew point temperature, humidity, pressure of sea and speed of wind and have been used to forecasts the rainfall. The dataset of 2245 samples of New Delhi from June to September (rainfall period) from 1996 to 2014 has been collected from a website named Weather Underground. The training dataset is used to train the classifier using Classification and Regression Tree algorithm, Naive Bayes approach, K nearest Neighbour and 5-10-1 Pattern Recognition Neural Network and its accuracy is tested on a test dataset. Pattern Recognition networks has given 82.1% accurate results, KNN with 80.7% correct forecasts ranks second, Classification and Regression Tree(CART) gives 80.3% while Naive Bayes provides 78.9% correctly classified samples.