DocumentCode
3722176
Title
Chaos and Complex in Measuring Sustainability of Economic Condition in Indonesia
Author
S. Saadah
Author_Institution
Informatic Fac., Telkom Univ., Bandung, Indonesia
fYear
2015
Firstpage
1
Lastpage
4
Abstract
Economic indicator in Indonesia are GDP (Gross Domestic Product), GNI (Gross National Income), inflation, export and import. These data had been chosen because economic that came from words ´ecos´ and ´nomos´ consist of value of life which are implemented in them. Based on that reason, it cannot be avoided that chaos and complex will emerge during measure the economic condition. In order to monitor Indonesia´s economic, system that predict each of economic indicator had been developed. This concept tried to answer the chaos and complex in real-problem. System did not measure only one indicator independently, instead of involve all of indicators while predict it. So that, non-linear differential dynamic had been used to face this issued. Furthermore, system would predict as time series and optimized using genetic algorithm. By setting parameter probability mutation and probability cross over, this research got accuracy around 30% - 80%. The range of accuracy proved that the system able enough to fit data in finding historical pattern even had to face with chaos and complex. Distribution data and non-linear differential equation are caused of chaos and complex respectively.
Keywords
"Chaos","Economic indicators","Genetic algorithms","Mathematical model","Time series analysis","Heuristic algorithms"
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Science and Security (ICISS), 2015 2nd International Conference on
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICISSEC.2015.7370986
Filename
7370986
Link To Document