DocumentCode
3738767
Title
A regression based hourly day ahead solar irradiance forecasting model by labview using cloud cover data
Author
O?uzhan Ceylan;Michael Starke;Phil Irminger;Ben Ollis;Kevin Tomsovic
Author_Institution
Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, The University of Tennessee
fYear
2015
Firstpage
406
Lastpage
410
Abstract
This paper applies a regression based numerical method for photovoltaic power output hourly forecast. The method uses a historical data composed of irradiance, azimuth, zenith angle and time of day information. In every run of the forecast program, publicly available cloud cover forecast data for the following day is obtained, and by using a numerical regression based method a function is fit. Then by using the publicly available temperature forecast data, forecasted irradiance data, and computed solar position (zenith, azimuth) data, both power output and temperature module output of PV array is computed. Numerical forecast results show that, they are in accordance with the actual data.
Keywords
"Forecasting","Clouds","Predictive models","Photovoltaic systems","Mathematical model","Autoregressive processes"
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Electrical and Electronics Engineering (ELECO), 2015 9th International Conference on
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ELECO.2015.7394592
Filename
7394592
Link To Document