• DocumentCode
    401646
  • Title

    Traffic flow forecasting based on grey neural network model

  • Author

    Chen, Shu-yan ; Qu, Gao-feng ; Wang, Xing-he ; Zhang, Hum-zhong

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Phys., Nanjing Normal Univ., China
  • Volume
    2
  • fYear
    2003
  • fDate
    2-5 Nov. 2003
  • Firstpage
    1275
  • Abstract
    In this paper, a kind of grey neural network (abbreviate as GNN) is proposed which combines grey system theory with neural network, that is, the GNN model has been built by adding a grey layer before neural input layer and a white layer after neural output layer. Gray neural network can elaborate advantages of both grey model and neural network, and enhance further precision of forecasting. The GNN model is employed to forecast a real vehicle traffic flow of Jingshi highway with favor precision and result, which is firstly applied GNN to traffic flow forecasting. Evaluation method has been used for comparing the performance of forecasting techniques. The experiments show that the GNN model is outperformed GM model and neural network model, and traffic flow forecasting based on GNN is of validity and feasibility.
  • Keywords
    convergence; forecasting theory; grey systems; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; road traffic; Jingshi highway; convergence process; grey neural network model; grey system theory; neural net training; nonlinear map feature; real vehicle traffic flow; traffic flow forecasting; Communication system traffic control; Intelligent transportation systems; Neural networks; Physics; Predictive models; Road transportation; Road vehicles; Stochastic systems; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2003 International Conference on
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-8131-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2003.1259684
  • Filename
    1259684