• DocumentCode
    402142
  • Title

    Rare-event, heavy-tailed simulations using hazard function transformations, with applications to value-at-risk

  • Author

    Huang, Zhi ; Shahabuddin, Perwez

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Operations Res., Columbia Univ., New York, NY, USA
  • Volume
    1
  • fYear
    2003
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2003
  • Firstpage
    276
  • Abstract
    We develop an observation that a simulation method introduced recently for heavy-tailed stochastic simulation, namely hazard-rate twisting, is equivalent to doing exponential twisting on a transformed version of the heavy-tailed random-variable; the transforming function is the hazard function. Using this approach, the paper develops efficient methods for computing portfolio value-at-risk (VAR) when changes in the underlying risk factors have the multivariate Laplace distribution.
  • Keywords
    discrete event simulation; finance; probability; risk analysis; stochastic processes; hazard function transformations; hazard-rate twisting; heavy-tailed simulations; multivariate Laplace distribution; portfolio computing; random-variable; rare-event simulations; risk factors; simulation method; stochastic simulation; value-at-risk; Computational modeling; Context modeling; Hazards; Industrial engineering; Loss measurement; Monte Carlo methods; Operations research; Portfolios; Random variables; Solid modeling;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference, 2003. Proceedings of the 2003 Winter
  • Print_ISBN
    0-7803-8131-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2003.1261434
  • Filename
    1261434