Modeling of the Load Duration Curve Using the Asymmetric Generalized Gaussian Distribution: Case of the Tunisian Power System

Author

Mohamed, Ould Mohamed M ; Jaïdane-Saïdane, M. ; Souissi, J.

Author_Institution

Signals & Syst. Res. Unit, Ecole Nat. d´´Ing. de Tunis, Tunis

fYear

2008

fDate

25-29 May 2008

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

6

Abstract

This paper proposes a new estimation technique of the load duration curve (LDC) which takes into account recent modifications of the load demand in the Tunisian power system (STEG) related to the increasing of the air conditioning load. This approach is based on the estimation of the hourly peak load distribution by asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution (AGG). Numerical results indicate that AGG technique is accurate, efficient and robust.

Keywords

Gaussian distribution; air conditioning; load forecasting; power generation scheduling; power system planning; air conditioning; asymmetric generalized Gaussian distribution; load duration curve; load forecasting; load modelling; power generation scheduling; power system planning; Air conditioning; Gaussian distribution; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system analysis computing; Power system modeling; Power system planning; Predictive models; Robustness; Shape measurement;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, 2008. PMAPS '08. Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on

Conference_Location

Rincon

Print_ISBN

978-1-9343-2521-6

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-9343-2540-7

Type

conf

Filename

4912628