Multi-agent Framework for Energy Supply/Demand Prediction

The framework based on multi-agent (MA) is proposed for energy supply/demand prediction, facing to the drawback hard to model energy supply/demand prediction system mathematically and attractions of multi-agent methods used in a complex system. In the proposed framework an intelligent hybrid agent and a MA hierarchical infrastructure of energy supply/ demand prediction are presented. The intelligent hybrid agent is composed of deliberative agent, reflex agent, decision-making module and coordination module, in which deliberative agent is designed for realizing static prediction, reflex agent is for dynamic prediction, decision-making module is used for static prediction or dynamic prediction and coordination module is for communication among agents. Meanwhile, the implementation method for all the agents and modules are discussed respectively. The simulation work shows that this approach is valid to improve the prediction accuracy. Future research efforts will be done to extend its application to energy based complex systems.