• DocumentCode
    735487
  • Title

    Real time prediction of unoccupied parking space using time series model

  • Author

    Fengquan Yu ; Jianhua Guo ; Xiaobo Zhu ; Guogang Shi

  • Author_Institution
    Intell. Transp. Syst. Res. Center, Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
  • fYear
    2015
  • fDate
    25-28 June 2015
  • Firstpage
    370
  • Lastpage
    374
  • Abstract
    Parking guidance system is an important mean to alleviate status quo of urban static traffic, improve the level of city traffic management and protect the urban environment. Timely and accurate information of remaining berths plays an important role in the parking guidance system which guides the driver to find a parking space efficiently. Therefore, this paper focused on the prediction methods of the unoccupied parking space. Then ARIMA model was selected to forecast the unoccupied parking space. And residual berths forecast model was established based on the general process of ARIMA model. At last, the paper combined the actual data to test the accuracy of forecast and compared with the effect of neural network prediction. Thus, the effectiveness and applicability of ARIMA model to predict residual berths were verified.
  • Keywords
    neural nets; real-time systems; time series; traffic engineering computing; ARIMA model; city traffic management; neural network prediction; parking guidance system; real time prediction; time series model; unoccupied parking space; urban static traffic; Analytical models; Correlation; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Real-time systems; Time series analysis; Transportation; ARIMA model; neural network; parking guidance system; real time prediction;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS), 2015 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Wuhan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-8693-4
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICTIS.2015.7232145
  • Filename
    7232145