• DocumentCode
    908207
  • Title

    Comparison of very short-term load forecasting techniques

  • Author

    Liu, K. ; Subbarayan, S. ; Shoults, R.R. ; Manry, M.T. ; Kwan, C. ; Lewis, F.L. ; Naccarino, J.

  • Author_Institution
    Autom. & Robotics Res. Inst., Texas Univ., Arlington, TX, USA
  • Volume
    11
  • Issue
    2
  • fYear
    1996
  • fDate
    5/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    877
  • Lastpage
    882
  • Abstract
    Three practical techniques-fuzzy logic (FL), neural networks (NN), and autoregressive models-for very short-term power system load forecasting are proposed and discussed in this paper. Their performances are evaluated through a computer simulation study. The preliminary study shows that it is feasible to design a simple, satisfactory dynamic forecaster to predict very short-term power system load trends online. FL and NN can be good candidates for this application
  • Keywords
    autoregressive processes; fuzzy logic; load forecasting; neural nets; power system analysis computing; autoregressive models; computer simulation; fuzzy logic; neural networks; performance evaluation; power systems; very short-term load forecasting; Application software; Computer simulation; Load forecasting; Logic; Neural networks; Performance evaluation; Power system dynamics; Power system modeling; Power system simulation; Predictive models;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0885-8950
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/59.496169
  • Filename
    496169