بررسي عوامل سياسي و اقتصادي موثر بر صادرات غيرنفتي ايران‌

Consideration of economic-political factors affecting non-oil export of Iran

The fluctuations in raw oil price in international market affect GNP, income per capita, and other economic variables fluctuation. Results show that non-oil export growth and factors affecting them are important. In this paper, economic-political variables of 25 countries trade side of Iran have been used during 1995-2005 period. Combined model has been used to evaluate by panel data. In economic section, Income per capita, population, consumer price Index, and exchange rate affect non-oil export. In political section, political instability influences non-oil export. Result indicate that increase of Iran exports has depended on increase in population, income per capita, and consumer price Index in the trade side countries. But exchange rate political instability in these countries has caused decrease in Iran exports.