بررسي عوامل موثر بر بازار گوشت مرغ در ايران (كاربرد مدل خود رگرسيون برداري)

The study on the effective factors in Chicken meat market in Iran: An application of Vector Autoregression model

Abstract The poultry industry is very important in Iran in comparison with other animal husbandry industries for its technical, economic and hygienic aspects. Despite the attempts made bv the government to support this industry, still its products is not confidentially sufficient for growing domestic demands. Among the various factors, which influence the poultry industry, the preparation and relevant pricing of feed inputs are very critical issues. The purpose of this study is to investigate the short-run and long-run of the effective factors in chicken meat market in Iran during The monthly data of 1993- 2010 using Johansen-Juselius technique and VEC mechanism. The results showed that the price of poultry feed inputs have positive effects on price of chicken meat in both short-run and long run period. The results also indicated the high adjustment speed in the model, which reveals that chicken meat market could be regulated in the short-run period by appropriate policies