Hazards due to earthquakes and asteroids: synergetic analysis and estimation of global risk Original Research Article

For the first time the seismic process is treated on the basis of the evolutionary kinetic equations for dispersed media. It is shown that the Gutenberg —Richter relationship N(M(E)) ∼ E−y, 1/3200 m, Ek ∼ 1025 erg) body falls is discussed. The probability of such a seismic storm in the next 100 yrs for any region of the Earth with R > 103 km from site of fall is ∼< 10−4 taking into account the probability (∼ 10−2) of impact. The maximum global risk is connected with possible destruction of atomic power stations (APS) and nuclear waste depositories, large chemical plants, dams and etc.